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4 Nov XOVR puts estimated value of Kalshi stake at $53.1 million ERShares says the ETF’s $30 million investment has gained about $23.1 million on paper after Kalshi’s latest financing valuation.
4 Nov Gemini adds hourly Zcash and Hyperliquid prediction markets The $1-or-zero contracts let traders take short-term price views with fixed hourly and daily settlement times.
4 Nov Apple explicitly bars confidential-information bets on prediction markets The new insider-trading-policy language reaches event contracts even when a trade falls outside securities-law definitions.
4 Nov Second Circuit declines to shield Kalshi and Coinbase from New York and Connecticut cases The emergency ruling lets state gambling-law suits resume while leaving the central federal-preemption question unresolved.
4 Nov Prediction markets near certainty on Democratic congressional sweep Aggregate prices rose close to 100% on election night, even as Senate control had not yet been called.
4 Nov Prediction-market deals begin contributing to Sportradar’s revenue growth The sports-data group said its expanding network of exchanges, market makers and brokers delivered a material contribution in the third quarter.
4 Nov Polymarket shifts 29 Strategy bitcoin lawsuits to federal court The traders’ claims over a disputed “No” market resolution may now turn on consolidation and Polymarket’s arbitration terms.
4 Nov Kalshi projects Roy Cooper Senate win in North Carolina Traders priced the Democrat at 99% after polls closed, while the exchange said the race had not been called or resolved.
3 Nov Kalshi’s Michigan Senate market passes $33 million as El-Sayed holds commanding odds Both Kalshi and Polymarket put the Democrat near an 80% chance of beating Mike Rogers before the election, despite a much closer polling margin.
3 Nov Fanatics Markets will halt Utah trades as prediction-market dispute widens The platform cited recent developments as Utah’s gambling case against Kalshi prompts rival operators to restrict contracts.
3 Nov Jefferies puts October prediction-market daily volume at record $4.13 billion Sports contracts supplied 78% of daily trading as open interest reached $3.27 billion
3 Nov CFTC opens regulated U.S. route for single-stock perpetual futures Markets must also file SEC notice to trade security futures, placing the products under a shared regulatory framework.