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Kalshi and Polymarket put Eisenkot ahead as Israel faces coalition deadlock
The markets priced the former IDF chief well above Netanyahu, but research raised concerns about concentrated Polymarket trading.
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Robinhood’s event-contract revenue reaches $173 million in third quarter
Record trading of 16.4 billion contracts kept prediction markets ahead of crypto, while Rothera passed a $100 million annualized run rate.
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Polymarket US adds five-minute crypto direction contracts
Bitcoin, ether, solana and XRP markets settle on averaged benchmark prices, with a tie going to Up.
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CFTC examines whether Polymarket honored 2022 U.S. access ban
The agency is also reviewing onboarding and customer protections at Polymarket’s newer regulated American platform.
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North Carolina election markets near $7 million as Cooper becomes a heavy favourite
The Senate contest accounts for more than $4.4 million in trading, while markets favour Democrats in five of the state’s 14 House races.
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CFTC sues Utah to stop prediction-market enforcement against Kalshi
Federal agency says state gambling law cannot govern event contracts traded on CFTC-regulated exchanges.
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Polymarket investigated dozens of midterm bets and referred cases to CFTC
A 16-person investigations team is using a new surveillance system that draws on public records, crypto data and banking partners ahead of the Nov. 3 vote.
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145 tribal amici urge Supreme Court to reject Kalshi’s sports contracts
The coalition says prediction markets bypass tribal gaming authority and put revenue for essential government services at risk.
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Kalshi sues Louisiana to block enforcement of sports-event contracts
The prediction-market operator says Louisiana’s new gambling-by-computer powers threaten its federally regulated business and its service providers.
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S&P Dow Jones Indices brings benchmark settlement to Kalshi
The non-exclusive deal also lets the index provider turn event-contract prices into measures of expectations across economics, politics and sports.
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NBA gives Kalshi and Polymarket formal prediction-market roles
The league secured approval rights over NBA contracts and a CFTC information-sharing pact as it moves into a contested market.
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Bettors wager millions on Alito retirement as Supreme Court weighs prediction-market case
Markets now trade on both a justice’s tenure and whether the court will hear the regulatory fight over sports-event contracts.