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Bitcoin prediction markets put $70,000 ahead of a six-figure return
Polymarket traders favored a $70,000 touch, while Kalshi’s leading year-end bands clustered between $70,000 and $80,000.
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Polymarket traders lift AI-bubble odds to 27% by mid-2027
The contract briefly hit 31% during a technology selloff, though traders still favor no formal burst under its criteria.
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Kalshi odds of imminent Anthropic IPO tumble as valuation views reset
Contracts on an IPO announcement fell sharply after a technology sell-off, while investor discussions moved from $2 trillion toward $1.1 trillion.
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Polymarket bets favor $1.75 trillion-plus Anthropic debut
The Nov. 4 market forecast was more bullish than valuation discussions reported days later as the AI company approached IPO marketing.
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Alabama-Quassarte sues Kalshi to halt planned PokkeTrades launch
The complaint says a disputed tribal leader lacked authority to approve the prediction-market venture announced for November.
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Kalshi says its midterm audience was five times larger than its trader base
The exchange says three-quarters of its users came to its election markets for information, as notional trading exceeded $2.5 billion.
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Vanderbilt researchers flag poll-timed election bets on Polymarket and Kalshi
A single anonymous trader made more than $250,000 across Michigan and Nebraska contracts placed before Times/Siena polls.
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DraftKings cuts profit outlook as prediction-market investment reaches $700 million
New-customer promotions are expected to erase most 2026 Predictions revenue, even as trading volumes rise and more than 1.6 million customers engage with the product.
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Utah summonses Kalshi founders for Dec. 4 criminal court appearance
Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara face an initial appearance in a 14-count case over sports-event contracts.
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Judge bars Kalshi sports contracts on two California tribal lands
The preliminary injunction follows a Ninth Circuit ruling that the contracts are likely unlawful Class III gaming when entered from tribal territory.
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CFTC tells exchanges to end domestic geofencing or explain why they cannot
The federal regulator’s impartial-access interpretation collides with state and tribal court orders that have required prediction-market restrictions.
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Kalshi launches U.S.-regulated perpetual futures on individual stocks
More than 50 contracts are live, but a federal judge has questioned the CFTC’s authority over the new products.