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El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate seat as Kalshi market climbs to 99%
The Associated Press called the Democrat’s victory over Mike Rogers after a volatile campaign that ended with more than $33 million wagered on Kalshi.
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Prediction markets near certainty on Democratic congressional sweep
Aggregate prices rose close to 100% on election night, even as Senate control had not yet been called.
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Polls and prediction markets point to Democratic gains, but share the same risks
House-control prices approach certainty while the Senate remains tighter and analysts warn that market odds often follow polling rather than independently test it.
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Kalshi puts El-Sayed at 77% as Stevens dispute shadows Michigan Senate race
The Democrat’s market lead widened before Election Day, while a clash over outside advertising split attention in the campaign’s closing days.