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CFTC moves to codify prediction-market rules as debate over manipulation intensifies
At its first innovation meeting, the agency sketched a three-part rulemaking agenda while industry figures argued over self-certification, consumer safeguards and whether some contracts are too easy to game.
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White House leaves prediction-market firms out of crypto meeting
The gathering has been narrowed to crypto and linked to the CFTC’s new advisory committee, despite earlier reports that prediction-market executives would be invited.
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Kalshi files perps on US stocks and copper
The CFTC submissions broaden its push beyond prediction markets, against a backdrop of regulatory uncertainty, market growth and pushback from rivals.
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CFTC review of mention markets deepens pressure on Kalshi
Reports say the platform pulled some spoken-word contracts as regulators examine whether wagers on individual words are too easy to manipulate.
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Connecticut judge lets state keep pressing Kalshi over sports contracts
Judge Vernon D. Oliver said Kalshi’s sports-event contracts do not qualify as swaps, clearing the way for state regulators to keep pursuing enforcement.
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Novig codifies a 21+ trading floor in its rulebook
The prediction-market exchange says its new framework builds age checks, self-exclusion, marketing limits and risk monitoring into the platform’s operating rules.
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CFTC puts prediction markets at centre of first advisory meeting
The Aug. 20 agenda pairs a prediction-markets panel with sessions on crypto and artificial intelligence, while opening comments to the public through Aug. 27.
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White House plans Aug. 19 crypto and prediction-market meeting
The tentative session comes a day before the CFTC opens its new advisory panel, as states widen their legal fight over event contracts and Congress keeps debating digital-asset rules.
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CFTC warns prediction-market incentive filings are often deficient
The agency said incomplete submissions can block review of whether platforms have given proper notice and checked compliance, while some reward structures may invite manipulation.
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Kalshi seeks $40 billion funding as revenue tops $4 billion
The prediction-market exchange is reportedly courting new investors after a sharp rise in trading and a July revenue run-rate that more than doubled in two months.
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Federal judge lets Utah enforce ban on Kalshi
Judge Robert Shelby said federal commodities law does not block the state’s sports gambling restrictions, and Kalshi said it will appeal.
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Nine senators press the CFTC to rein in wildfire bets
The lawmakers warned that prediction markets on fires could encourage arson, profit from disaster and raise public-safety risks, and they asked for answers by 14 August.