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Kalshi’s Michigan Senate market passes $33 million as El-Sayed holds commanding odds
Both Kalshi and Polymarket put the Democrat near an 80% chance of beating Mike Rogers before the election, despite a much closer polling margin.
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Fanatics Markets will halt Utah trades as prediction-market dispute widens
The platform cited recent developments as Utah’s gambling case against Kalshi prompts rival operators to restrict contracts.
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CFTC opens regulated U.S. route for single-stock perpetual futures
Markets must also file SEC notice to trade security futures, placing the products under a shared regulatory framework.
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US midterm prediction markets approach $1.9 billion in wagers
A proliferation of contracts and high-profile partnerships has brought election betting into the mainstream, even as concerns persist over accuracy and regulation.
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Illinois appeals injunction shielding some Kalshi and Coinbase sports contracts
The Seventh Circuit challenge leaves in place, for now, an order barring Illinois licensing, tax and enforcement actions against covered federally traded contracts.
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Virginia prediction markets gave McGuire an edge and Cline a commanding lead
A WSLS 10 segment put more than $1 million of wagering behind the closely watched 5th District race, while wider evidence showed why market odds are not polls.
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Polymarket’s prediction-market share falls to 17.2% as Kalshi holds lead
Face-value volume puts Kalshi at three-quarters of DeFi Rate’s latest nine-venue tally, while Polymarket retains a lead in U.S. search interest.
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Polls and prediction markets point to Democratic gains, but share the same risks
House-control prices approach certainty while the Senate remains tighter and analysts warn that market odds often follow polling rather than independently test it.
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Bloomberg election page tracks $230 million in Kalshi control contracts
House and Senate betting odds sit alongside vote results and a survey of investors’ views on the market consequences of congressional control.
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Kalshi gave $63,000 in Hawaiʻi as prediction-market ban stalled
The exchange backed the state Democratic Party and 22 Democratic candidates, including House members who supported restrictions on its contracts.
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Kalshi puts El-Sayed at 77% as Stevens dispute shadows Michigan Senate race
The Democrat’s market lead widened before Election Day, while a clash over outside advertising split attention in the campaign’s closing days.
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CFTC seeks emergency order to halt Utah’s Kalshi enforcement
The proposed federal injunction would stop pending civil and criminal actions, new investigations and subpoenas tied to regulated event contracts.