Event Contracts

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5 Oct Nevada urges Ninth Circuit to reject Kalshi’s CFTC-rulemaking delay The state says a potential rewrite of the event-contract rule cannot undo the panel’s conclusion that Kalshi’s sports contracts are bets, not swaps.
3 Oct MGM and Caesars shun prediction markets over licence risks At G2E in Las Vegas, the casino groups said state regulatory exposure outweighed the appeal of event contracts.
2 Oct European Lotteries calls for coherent prediction-market rules The lottery association wants existing financial and national gambling rules applied consistently, rather than a technology-based carve-out.
30 Sep CFTC sends duelling prediction-market definitions to White House review One proposal would class event contracts as swaps, while an interim rule would exclude casino-style products.
28 Sep Issuer-specific prediction markets test SEC-CFTC boundary Contracts on earnings, production and stock performance raise the question of when an event market becomes a security-based swap.
25 Sep High Roller says ROLR soft launch is complete ahead of October target The company says its prediction-markets platform is nearing a public U.S. rollout after an invitation-only phase.
25 Sep New York sues Polymarket, which counters with federal challenge The state says sports event contracts amount to unlicensed gambling, while Polymarket says its products are federally regulated derivatives.
24 Sep Kalshi’s Montana lawsuit is dismissed, but enforcement remains possible A joint stipulation ends the federal case while requiring notice before Montana can pursue potential action against the prediction-market operator.
23 Sep Fullstory survey finds prediction markets changing sportsbook use More than a third of respondents said they are using traditional sportsbooks less often as event-contract options expand
20 Sep Montana pauses Kalshi enforcement while Ninth Circuit rehearing petition is pending The state will not pursue investigations or cease-and-desist action against the prediction-market operator during a defined review period, but the agreement leaves the legal dispute unresolved.
19 Sep BMLL puts Kalshi order-book history into institutional research systems The data provider will standardise Kalshi’s historical event-contract records to the schema used for CME Event Contracts, allowing quantitative teams to backtest macro signals without bespoke API work.
13 Sep NBC says NFL season could be prediction markets’ biggest yet Analysts see football as a near-term driver for event-contract trading, with NBC News saying volume on Kalshi and Polymarket could top $36 billion.