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Cornell seminar to examine how accurately prediction markets forecast
Kalshi researcher Rubens Baiocchi will discuss calibration, expert comparisons and the favorite-longshot bias on Oct. 29.
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Polymarket removes Cornell sex-crime contract after backlash
The international-platform market drew more than $450,000 in trading before the company withdrew it amid criticism from advocates and online users.
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Polymarket’s Cornell sex-crime market draws backlash over trading on rape allegations
The international platform’s market on possible felony charges drew about $452,000 in volume while advocates condemned its treatment of alleged sexual violence.