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1 Oct Low-odds trades on Polymarket’s international exchange draw scrutiny World Cup and Ethiopian-election contracts recorded heavier activity in long-shot outcomes than in leading ones
30 Sep CFTC sends duelling prediction-market definitions to White House review One proposal would class event contracts as swaps, while an interim rule would exclude casino-style products.
30 Sep Bell Buckle debuts Prediction Vegas on Las Vegas Boulevard The 10,000-square-foot venue displays prediction-market odds as Nevada’s legal fight with Kalshi continues.
30 Sep Polymarket adds self-exclusion and deposit limits as regulatory pressure grows The prediction-market operator is pairing sportsbook-style safeguards with Birches Health support and new platform-wide moderation standards.
30 Sep Horsford presses Congress at G2E to curb prediction-market gambling The Nevada congressman’s bill would bar federally regulated platforms from packaging sports betting and casino-style games as financial products.
29 Sep Wyoming governor primary draws nearly $420,000 in Polymarket trading The figure reflects contracts on one Republican primary, not campaign money, as trackers follow state election and sports markets.
29 Sep Polymarket hires Goldman Sachs veteran Lisa Mantil for institutional push The former Goldman partner will seek products, infrastructure and liquidity for investment managers, trading firms, banks and corporates.
29 Sep Polymarket US adds 15-minute Bitcoin up-or-down contracts The contracts settle against an averaged Bitcoin index price, while New York separately challenges the platform’s legal status.
29 Sep Polymarket US gains ground as weekly prediction trading reaches $19.46 billion Combination contracts supplied 96% of Polymarket US’s weekly growth, while Kalshi set new daily and weekly volume records.
28 Sep Polymarket gives Democrats 92% chance of taking House The House price was far more decisive than the Senate market, while separate contracts made an 8% to 10% Democratic popular-vote margin the most likely among the cited brackets.
28 Sep Issuer-specific prediction markets test SEC-CFTC boundary Contracts on earnings, production and stock performance raise the question of when an event market becomes a security-based swap.
27 Sep New Mexico lawmakers warned prediction markets could divert tribal gaming revenue Committee witnesses raised concerns over casino revenue, online access for younger users and a still-conceptual tax on prediction-market earnings.