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15 Sep Genius Sports says prediction-market demand will survive regulatory change Chief executive Mark Locke says the company can earn from exchanges, market makers and sportsbooks even if today’s model is reshaped.
14 Sep NFL prediction trading tops $1.035 billion as Kalshi dominates Patriots-Seahawks and 49ers-Rams each drew more than $100 million as Week 1 trading spread well beyond the opening games.
14 Sep NFL, tennis and the Fed lift prediction markets to $14.1 billion Combined volume rose 9.3% in the Sept. 7-13 week as sports contracts and a Fed rate bet dominated trading.
14 Sep Prediction markets lift Clarity Act odds before Senate vote Polymarket and Kalshi traders marked up the crypto bill, though Democrats still face a 60-vote cloture hurdle and a longer road to final passage.
13 Sep NBC says NFL season could be prediction markets’ biggest yet Analysts see football as a near-term driver for event-contract trading, with NBC News saying volume on Kalshi and Polymarket could top $36 billion.
11 Sep ESMA says Polymarket, Kalshi lack EU authorization The watchdog also questioned partial geo-blocks, saying event contracts can fall under securities, crypto or gambling rules depending on how they are structured.
11 Sep CFTC opened three Polymarket probes FOIA records point to private investigations into Biden pardon markets, Iran contracts and Google-themed trades.
10 Sep Polymarket names first companywide CFO as fundraising looms Warren Jenson joins as the company seeks new capital and expands its regulated exchange and global platform.
9 Sep Small bets sway US congressional prediction markets The Anti-Corruption Data Collective said a $3,500 wager could move almost every market it studied, and the exchanges pushed back.
9 Sep Tema launches first prediction-market ETF The actively managed fund buys public stocks and private stakes in Kalshi and Polymarket, while steering clear of event contracts and charging 0.75% a year.
8 Sep Polymarket adds Squads to bring trading into group chats The new in-app feature lets friends message, share positions and trade through their own accounts while Polymarket leans into football season.
5 Sep LeBron James teases Polymarket partnership with football focus A short X video showed him inside Polymarket HQ, with the campaign expected to center on football.