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Brazil’s right embraces Polymarket runoff odds
A 77% market probability for Flavio Bolsonaro has been embraced by right-wing figures amid distrust of polls, even as experts stress that wagers are not a measure of voter intent.
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Brazil prediction markets moved to Bolsonaro before first-round upset
Market odds crossed in Flávio Bolsonaro’s favor on Sept. 12, while Datafolha polls had put Lula ahead
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Brazil orders blocks on Polymarket, Kalshi and 25 prediction platforms
The finance ministry said only contracts tied to economic benchmarks such as inflation and exchange rates may remain under financial-market rules, while sports and politics are out.