-
CFTC says prediction-market trades can trigger insider-trading liability
Enforcement director David Miller drew a line between misuse of confidential information, exchange-rule breaches and market manipulation.
-
CFTC says person-based prediction contracts are presumptively vulnerable to manipulation
The staff advisory stops short of banning “mention markets” but demands contract-specific safeguards and scrutiny
-
Small bets sway US congressional prediction markets
The Anti-Corruption Data Collective said a $3,500 wager could move almost every market it studied, and the exchanges pushed back.